Knicks vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [3/29/2026]

The Oklahoma City Thunder will square off with the New York Knicks in NBA action at Paycom Center on Sunday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Knicks vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Knicks will look to Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby and Karl-Anthony Towns.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Knicks vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Knicks and Thunder, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder a 74% chance of beating the Knicks. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 115-108.

According to our model, the Knicks (+7.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 223.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Knicks vs. Thunder odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Knicks	Thunder
Spread	+7.5 (-105)	-7.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+300	-330
Total	o223.5 (-108)	u223.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Knicks vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Knicks +7.5	-105
Moneyline	Knicks	+300
Total	Over 223.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Knicks +7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Knicks vs. Thunder player props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Sunday's Knicks vs. Thunder game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Jalen Brunson is expected to lead the Knicks with 24 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 30 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Knicks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Knicks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Brunson	24	3	7	2	43
OG Anunoby	17	5	2	2	33
K. Towns	16	10	2	1	37
Josh Hart	13	8	5	1	37
Mikal Bridges	13	4	3	2	27

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	4	7	2	52
Jalen Williams	16	4	5	1	33
Chet Holmgren	16	8	2	1	34
Ajay Mitchell	12	3	3	1	25
I. Hartenstein	8	8	3	0	27

Knicks vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Thunder and Knicks at Paycom Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: New York Knicks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Knicks on Sunday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Knicks vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

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