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Mets vs. Rockies prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [5/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Colorado Rockies and New York Mets are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Coors Field on Wednesday, starting at 9:20 PM ET.
The Rockies will have Michael Lorenzen (2-3, 6.09 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets are going with Freddy Peralta (1-3, 3.52 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Rockies game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Rockies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Rockies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 60% chance of beating the Rockies.
According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 52% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Rockies odds [5/6/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+102) | +1.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | -158 | +135 |
| Total | o9.5 (+100) | u9.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Rockies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +102 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -158 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | +100 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Rockies game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Rockies and Mets at Coors Field is scheduled to start at 9:20 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Time: 9:20 PM ET/6:20PM PT
- Venue: Coors Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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