Yankees vs. Royals prediction: Yankees favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals predictions for MLB Monday.

New York Yankees-Kansas City Royals Predictions and Game Preview.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals MLB prediction for Monday, May 25, 2026.

The Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees will meet in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium on Monday, starting at 3:40 PM ET.

Michael Wacha (4-2, 2.70 ERA) will start on the mound for the Royals, pitting him against Will Warren (6-1, 3.61 ERA) for the Yankees.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Royals.

This article offers further insights into Monday's Yankees vs. Royals matchup, including best bets and picks.

Yankees vs. Royals prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Royals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 53% chance of defeating the Royals.

According to our model, the Royals (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

 

Yankees vs. Royals odds [5/25/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Yankees Royals
Run Line -1.5 (+125) +1.5 (-144)
Moneyline -130 +114
Total o9 (-105) u9 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Yankees vs. Royals picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Royals +1.5 -144
Moneyline Royals +114
Total Over 9 -105

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Yankees vs. Royals game-day updates and essential details

Monday's MLB action between the Royals and Yankees at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:40 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Royals in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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