Iraq vs. Norway prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 game between Iraq and Norway, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests an 8.4% chance of Iraq winning, a 75.6% chance for Norway, and a 16.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 3.5-goal over/under has a 65.3% chance of staying under, with a 57.4% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Norway holds a 47.8% probability to win without conceding, with Iraq at 4.5%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Norway to win or draw at 91.6%.

Norway vs. Iraq odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Iraq	Norway	Draw
+1400	-475	+600

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
+156	-185

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Iraq vs. Norway picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Norway @ +600 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ -185 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Iraq @ +1600 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Iraq or Draw @ +370 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +138 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Norway to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Iraq vs. Norway: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Norway win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Iraq 0-2 Norway	14%
Iraq 0-1 Norway	11.9%
Iraq 0-3 Norway	10.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 42.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 57.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Iraq vs. Norway player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Iraq-Norway:

Iraq

• Aymen Hussein: 13.0% probability
• Ali Hamadi: 10.0% probability
• Ali Jasim: 6.2% probability
• Ibrahim Bayesh: 5.5% probability
• Zidane Iqbal: 4.1% probability

Norway

• Erling Haaland: 55.6% probability
• Alexander Sorloth: 32.9% probability
• Antonio Nusa: 22.8% probability
• Martin Odegaard: 17.4% probability
• Fredrik Aursnes: 10.7% probability

Iraq vs. Norway game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's soccer World Cup matchup between Iraq and Norway at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Iraq vs. Norway
• Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Iraq has an 8.4% win probability on Tuesday, Norway has a 75.6% win probability, and there is a 16.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.