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Thunder vs. Nets prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [3/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Brooklyn Nets will face the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Barclays Center on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Nets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nets lineup will feature players like Danny Wolf, Noah Clowney and Ziaire Williams, while the Thunder will rely on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Thunder vs. Nets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Thunder and Nets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 92% chance of beating the Nets. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 116-100.
According to our model, the Nets (+19) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 216.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Thunder vs. Nets odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Nets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -19 (-110) | +19 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -2200 | +1200 |
| Total | o216.5 (-110) | u216.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. Nets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nets +19 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Nets | +1200 |
| Total | Under 216.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Nets +19 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Thunder vs. Nets player props
Looking for Oklahoma City vs. Brooklyn NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 29 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Danny Wolf is projected to have 11 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Nets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 29 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 50 |
| Chet Holmgren | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| Isaiah Joe | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22 |
| Jaylin Williams | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
Nets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Wolf | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Noah Clowney | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| Ziaire Williams | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
| Tyson Etienne | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| Nic Claxton | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24 |
Thunder vs. Nets game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Nets and Thunder at Barclays Center is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Brooklyn Nets
- Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat the Nets on Wednesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Nets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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