Thunder vs. Lakers prediction: Oklahoma City to win, LeBron James projected for 21 points in Monday's NBA game [2/9/2026]

The Los Angeles Lakers will face the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Monday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Lakers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature stars like LeBron James, Austin Reaves and Rui Hachimura, while the Thunder will rely on Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams and Aaron Wiggins.

Luka Doncic will miss the game though with the Slovenian star out for this one.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Thunder vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Thunder and Lakers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Thunder a 71% chance of defeating the Lakers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 113-107.

According to our model, the Lakers (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 222.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Lakers odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Thunder vs. Lakers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers +6.5 at the spread.

Thunder vs. Lakers player props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Oklahoma City vs. LA Lakers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Chet Holmgren is expected to lead the Thunder with 19 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while LeBron James is projected to have 21 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists for the Lakers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Thunder prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:

Lakers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:

Thunder vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Lakers and Thunder at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers
• Date: Monday, February 9, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Lakers on Monday, with LeBron James projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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