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Thunder vs. Lakers prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Tuesday's NBA game [4/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Los Angeles Lakers will square off with the favored Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Lakers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature stars like Luke Kennard, Rui Hachimura and Jake LaRavia, while the Thunder will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell.
LeBron James will not be on the court, with the Slovenian star out for this one.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Thunder vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Thunder and Lakers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Thunder a 90% chance of beating the Lakers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 117-102.
According to our model, the Lakers (+17.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 220.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Thunder vs. Lakers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Lakers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -17.5 (-112) | +17.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -2100 | +1300 |
| Total | o220.5 (-115) | u220.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. Lakers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers +17.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | +1300 |
| Total | Under 220.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers +17.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Thunder vs. Lakers player props
Looking for Thunder vs. Lakers NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 28 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Luke Kennard is projected to have 14 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists for the Lakers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 28 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 48 |
| Chet Holmgren | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 34 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| I. Hartenstein | 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 27 |
| Cason Wallace | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Lakers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard | 14 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 31 |
| Rui Hachimura | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 |
| Jake LaRavia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Deandre Ayton | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26 |
| Drew Timme | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Thunder vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Lakers and Thunder at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat the Lakers on Tuesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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