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Thunder vs. 76ers prediction: Why Oklahoma City is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [3/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers predictions for NBA Monday.
NBA action continues on Monday at 7:00 PM ET as the favored Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Philadelphia 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. 76ers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the 76ers lineup will feature stars like VJ Edgecombe, Quentin Grimes and Justin Edwards, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Sixers vs. Sixers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Thunder and 76ers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder an 89% chance of beating the 76ers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 120-105.
According to our model, the 76ers (+16) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 226.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Thunder vs. 76ers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | 76ers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -16 (-110) | +16 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -1100 | +775 |
| Total | o226.5 (-112) | u226.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. 76ers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 76ers +16 | -108 |
| Moneyline | 76ers | +775 |
| Total | Under 226.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is 76ers +16 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Thunder vs. 76ers player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Thunder vs. 76ers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while VJ Edgecombe is projected to have 18 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the 76ers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 31 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 53 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36 |
| Jalen Williams | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
| Jared McCain | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| Isaiah Joe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
76ers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the 76ers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ Edgecombe | 18 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| Quentin Grimes | 17 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Justin Edwards | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
| Trendon Watford | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23 |
| Dominick Barlow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 |
Thunder vs. Sixers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the 76ers and Thunder at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers
- Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat the 76ers on Monday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. 76ers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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