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Magic vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's NBA game [3/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Monday.
NBA action continues on Monday at 7:00 PM ET as the Orlando Magic lock horns with the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Magic vs. Hawks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, while the Magic will rely on Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane and Jalen Suggs.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Magic vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Magic and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hawks a 61% chance of defeating the Magic. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 116-113.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Magic and Hawks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Magic vs. Hawks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Magic | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-112) | -3.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -154 |
| Total | o230.5 (-114) | u230.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Magic vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks -3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | -154 |
| Total | Under 230.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Hawks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magic vs. Hawks player props
Looking for Orlando vs. Atlanta NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Paolo Banchero is expected to lead the Magic with 23 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 24 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists for the Hawks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Magic prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Magic are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 23 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 47 |
| Desmond Bane | 22 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Jalen Suggs | 16 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| T. da Silva | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Wendell Carter | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 31 |
Hawks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 24 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 56 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 19 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 35 |
| CJ McCollum | 17 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 32 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 14 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Dyson Daniels | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 33 |
Magic vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Hawks and Magic at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Magic on Monday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 56 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Magic vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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