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Magic vs. Pelicans prediction: Orlando favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Pelicans predictions for NBA Sunday.
The New Orleans Pelicans and Orlando Magic will lock horns in NBA action at Smoothie King Center on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Magic as the most likely winner of the Magic vs. Pelicans game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pelicans lineup will feature stars like Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey and Jeremiah Fears, while the Magic will look to Paolo Banchero, Desmond Bane and Jalen Suggs.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Magic vs. Pelicans prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Magic and Pelicans, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Magic a 69% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Magic winning 120-114.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Magic vs. Pelicans odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Magic | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -235 | +210 |
| Total | o236.5 (-105) | u236.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Magic vs. Pelicans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Magic | -235 |
| Total | Under 236.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magic vs. Pelicans player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Orlando vs. New Orleans game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Smoothie King Center.
Paolo Banchero is expected to lead the Magic with 22 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, while Zion Williamson is projected to have 21 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Pelicans.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Magic prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Magic are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 22 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 46 |
| Desmond Bane | 21 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Jalen Suggs | 15 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
| Franz Wagner | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Wendell Carter | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
Pelicans prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pelicans:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| Saddiq Bey | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 17 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Derik Queen | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 34 |
| Herbert Jones | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
Magic vs. Pelicans game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Pelicans and Magic at Smoothie King Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Conclusion
We predict the Magic, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Sunday, with Paolo Banchero projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Magic vs. Pelicans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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