Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/12/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's La Liga match between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 37.5% chance of Osasuna winning, a 36.5% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 26.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Osasuna	Atletico Madrid	Draw
+150	+180	+260

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-130	-105

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Atletico Madrid	+180
Total Goals	Under 2.5	-105

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Atletico Madrid to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
OSA 1-1 ATM	12.4%
OSA 1-0 ATM	9.3%
OSA 0-1 ATM	9.2%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's La Liga action between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid at Estadio El Sadar is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid
• Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Osasuna has a 37.5% win probability on Tuesday, Atletico Madrid has a 36.5% win probability, and there is a 26.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.