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76ers vs. Knicks prediction: New York favored to win Game 1 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks predictions for NBA Playoffs Monday.
The New York Knicks and Philadelphia sixers are scheduled to meet in Game 1 of their NBA Playoffs series at Madison Square Garden on Monday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Knicks as the most likely winner of the 76ers vs. Knicks Game 1 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Knicks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby, while the 76ers will rely on Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid and Paul George.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Sixers vs. Sixers prediction: Who will win Game 1?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA Playoffs game between the 76ers and Knicks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Knicks a 73% chance of defeating the 76ers in Game 1 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Knicks winning 109-102.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the 76ers and Knicks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 213.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
76ers vs. Knicks Game 1 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | 76ers | Knicks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +235 | -275 |
| Total | o213.5 (-110) | u213.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
76ers vs. Knicks picks and best bet for Game 1
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Knicks -7.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Knicks | -275 |
| Total | Under 213.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Knicks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
76ers vs. Knicks Game 1 player props
Looking for Philadelphia vs. New York NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Madison Square Garden.
Tyrese Maxey is expected to lead the 76ers with 26 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to have 26 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists for the Knicks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
76ers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the 76ers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 26 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 48 |
| Joel Embiid | 26 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 49 |
| Paul George | 18 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| VJ Edgecombe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 35 |
| Kelly Oubre | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
Knicks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Knicks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 26 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 44 |
| K. Towns | 20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 48 |
| OG Anunoby | 20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 39 |
| Josh Hart | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Mikal Bridges | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
Sixers vs. Knicks Game 1 updates and essential details
Monday's Game 1 between the Knicks and 76ers in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the 76ers and Knicks, made the NBA Playoffs 2026, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Knicks, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the 76ers in Monday's NBA playoffs matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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