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Suns vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [3/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Monday.
NBA action continues on Monday at 8:00 PM ET as the Phoenix Suns square off with the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like GG Jackson, Cedric Coward and Taylor Hendricks, while the Suns will look to Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Grayson Allen.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Suns vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Suns and Grizzlies, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Suns an 83% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 119-108.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Suns vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -12.5 (-110) | +12.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -700 | +525 |
| Total | o228.5 (-115) | u228.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +12.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +525 |
| Total | Under 228.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +12.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Monday's Phoenix vs. Memphis game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 26 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists, while GG Jackson is projected to have 16 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Suns prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 26 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 46 |
| Jalen Green | 20 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Grayson Allen | 15 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| C. Gillespie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 29 |
| Oso Ighodaro | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| Cedric Coward | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| T. Hendricks | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Cam Spencer | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 25 |
| Walter Clayton | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 24 |
Suns vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Grizzlies and Suns at FedExForum is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Monday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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