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Suns vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio favored to win Thursday's NBA game [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Thursday.
The San Antonio Spurs will take on the Phoenix Suns in NBA action at Moody Center on Thursday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Spurs game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature stars like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Suns will look to Devin Booker, Collin Gillespie and Grayson Allen.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Suns vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA matchup between the Suns and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 72% chance of defeating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 118-111.
According to our model, the Suns (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 229.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Suns vs. Spurs odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-108) | -7.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +235 | -285 |
| Total | o229.5 (-110) | u229.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Spurs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns +7.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Suns | +235 |
| Total | Over 229.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Suns +7.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Spurs player props
Looking for Phoenix vs. San Antonio NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moody Center.
Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 24 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 24 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Suns prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 24 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 43 |
| C. Gillespie | 15 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 32 |
| Grayson Allen | 14 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| Jalen Green | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| Mark Williams | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
Spurs prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 24 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 52 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 18 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 36 |
| Stephon Castle | 15 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 35 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Devin Vassell | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Suns vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Spurs and Suns at Moody Center is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Moody Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Thursday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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