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Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [11/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC predictions for MLS Cup Saturday.
Portland will square off with San Diego FC in the MLS Cup first round at Providence Park on Saturday, commencing at 9:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model projects Portland as the most likely winner of the Portland vs. San Diego FC game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC prediction: Who will win MLS Cup first round matchup?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Portland and San Diego FC 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 39.0% chance of Portland winning, a 36.8% chance for San Diego FC, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC - MLS Cup first round odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Portland | San Diego FC | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +200 | +115 | +275 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland | +200 |
| According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Portland to win. |
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| POT 1-1 San Diego FC | 11.1% |
| POT 2-1 San Diego FC | 8.5% |
| POT 1-2 San Diego FC | 8.3% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC MLS Cup first round updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Portland and San Diego FC in MLS at Providence Park is scheduled to begin at 9:30PM ET.
- Who: Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Time: 9:30PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Providence Park
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Portland has a 39.0% win probability on Saturday, San Diego FC has a 36.8% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Portland vs. San Diego FC insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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