Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [3/20/2026]

The Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Portland Trail Blazers, in what is expected to be a tight NBA game, at Target Center on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model gives the Timberwolves a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Trail Blazers.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature players like Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu and Jaden McDaniels, while the Trail Blazers will look to Deni Avdija, Jerami Grant and Jrue Holiday.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Blazers vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Trail Blazers and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Timberwolves a 54% chance of beating the Trail Blazers. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 115-114.

According to our model, the Timberwolves (-1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 231.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Trail Blazers	Timberwolves
Spread	+1.5 (-115)	-1.5 (+105)
Moneyline	-104	-112
Total	o231.5 (-108)	u231.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Timberwolves -1.5	+105
Moneyline	Timberwolves	-112
Total	Under 231.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Timberwolves -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves player props

Looking for Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Deni Avdija is expected to lead the Trail Blazers with 25 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists, while Julius Randle is projected to have 23 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Trail Blazers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Trail Blazers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Deni Avdija	25	7	7	2	50
Jerami Grant	18	3	2	2	30
Jrue Holiday	16	5	6	2	36
Scoot Henderson	14	3	4	2	27
Donovan Clingan	12	10	3	1	35

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Julius Randle	23	7	5	2	45
Ayo Dosunmu	17	4	4	2	33
Jaden McDaniels	16	4	3	1	33
Rudy Gobert	13	12	2	0	39
D. DiVincenzo	13	4	4	3	30

Blazers vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Timberwolves and Trail Blazers at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Timberwolves, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers on Friday, with Deni Avdija projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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