May 22, 2026
Villareal vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/24/2026]
Read Article Real Madrid vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [4/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Real Madrid vs Alaves predictions for La Liga Tuesday.
Real Madrid will take on Alaves in La Liga action on Tuesday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Real Madrid as the most likely winner of the Real Madrid vs. Alaves game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Real Madrid vs. Alaves prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's La Liga match between Real Madrid and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 76.5% chance of Real Madrid winning, a 9.2% chance for Alaves, and a 14.3% chance of a draw.
Real Madrid vs. Alaves odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Real Madrid | Alaves | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -450 | +1100 | +650 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Real Madrid vs. Alaves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alaves | +1100 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alaves to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Real Madrid vs. Alaves: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Real Madrid win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MAD 2-0 ALV | 10.4% |
| MAD 3-0 ALV | 9.4% |
| MAD 2-1 ALV | 8.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.7% chance of both Real Madrid and Alaves finding the net and a 46.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Real Madrid vs. Alaves game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's La Liga action between Real Madrid and Alaves is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Real Madrid vs. Alaves
- Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Real Madrid has a 76.5% win probability on Tuesday, Alaves has a 9.2% win probability, and there is a 14.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
