...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid predictions for La Liga Sunday.
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid are scheduled to meet in La Liga on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model projects Real Madrid as the most likely winner of the Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 48.8% chance of Real Madrid winning, a 27.8% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 23.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Real Madrid | Atletico Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -110 | +280 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -164 | +134 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atletico Madrid | +280 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +134 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Atletico Madrid to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MAD 1-1 ATM | 10.8% |
| MAD 2-1 ATM | 9.5% |
| MAD 1-0 ATM | 8.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.6% chance of both Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid finding the net and a 40.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga game between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid is scheduled to begin in the USA at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Real Madrid has a 48.8% win probability on Sunday, Atletico Madrid has a 27.8% win probability, and there is a 23.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
Advertiser disclosure