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Read Article Real Oviedo vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Real Oviedo vs Alaves predictions for La Liga Sunday.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as Alaves squares off with Real Oviedo at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Alaves as the most likely winner of the Real Oviedo vs. Alaves game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Real Oviedo vs. Alaves prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Oviedo and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 28.5% chance of Real Oviedo winning, a 45.9% chance for Alaves, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Real Oviedo vs. Alaves odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Real Oviedo | Alaves | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +280 | -105 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -125 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Real Oviedo vs. Alaves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Oviedo | +280 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -110 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Real Oviedo to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Real Oviedo vs. Alaves: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Real Oviedo 1-1 ALV | 12.1% |
| Real Oviedo 0-1 ALV | 10.7% |
| Real Oviedo 1-2 ALV | 9.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.0% chance of both Real Oviedo and Alaves finding the net and a 47.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Real Oviedo vs. Alaves game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga action between Real Oviedo and Alaves at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere is scheduled to start in the USA at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Real Oviedo vs. Alaves
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Real Oviedo has a 28.5% win probability on Sunday, Alaves has a 45.9% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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