Real Oviedo vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]

Real Oviedo will take on Alaves in La Liga action at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere on Sunday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Alaves as the most likely winner of the Real Oviedo vs. Alaves game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Real Oviedo vs. Alaves prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Oviedo and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 28.4% chance of Real Oviedo winning, a 45.0% chance for Alaves, and a 26.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Real Oviedo vs. Alaves odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Real Oviedo	Alaves	Draw
+300	+105	+225

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+125	-175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Real Oviedo vs. Alaves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Real Oviedo	+300
Total Goals	Over 2.5	+125

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Real Oviedo to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Real Oviedo vs. Alaves: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Real Oviedo 1-1 ALV	12.6%
Real Oviedo 0-1 ALV	11.8%
Real Oviedo 1-2 ALV	8.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Real Oviedo vs. Alaves game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's La Liga matchup between Real Oviedo and Alaves at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere is scheduled to begin in the USA at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Real Oviedo vs. Alaves
• Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Real Oviedo has a 28.4% win probability on Sunday, Alaves has a 45.0% win probability, and there is a 26.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.