Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds, La Liga picks [10/5/2025]

Real Sociedad will square off with Rayo Vallecano in La Liga action at Reale Arena on Sunday, commencing at 12:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Real Sociedad as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Real Sociedad-Rayo Vallecano game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Real Sociedad a 45.2% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano a 27.8% chance, and a 26.9% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano predictions page.

Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 45.2% chance of Real Sociedad winning, a 27.8% chance for Rayo Vallecano, and a 26.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Real Sociedad	Rayo Vallecano	Draw
+115	+260	+240

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+100	-122

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
SOC 1-1 RAY	12.7%
SOC 1-0 RAY	12.3%
SOC 0-1 RAY	9.1%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.3% chance of the yes hitting, and a 51.7% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's La Liga game between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano at Reale Arena is scheduled to commence in the USA at 12:30PM ET.

• Who: Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano
• Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
• Time: 12:30PM ET/9:30AM PT
• Venue: Reale Arena

Dimers' full preview of Sunday's Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Sociedad picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Real Sociedad has a 45.2% win probability on Sunday, Rayo Vallecano has a 27.8% win probability, and there is a 26.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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