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Read Article Real Sociedad vs. Valencia prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Real Sociedad vs Valencia predictions for La Liga Sunday.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET as Valencia takes on Real Sociedad at Anoeta.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Real Sociedad as the most likely winner of the Real Sociedad vs. Valencia game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Real Sociedad vs. Valencia prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Sociedad and Valencia, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 44.8% chance of Real Sociedad winning, a 29.4% chance for Valencia, and a 25.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Real Sociedad vs. Valencia odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Real Sociedad | Valencia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +115 | +240 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Real Sociedad vs. Valencia picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Valencia | +240 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -110 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valencia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Real Sociedad vs. Valencia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SOC 1-1 VAL | 12.3% |
| SOC 1-0 VAL | 10.6% |
| SOC 2-1 VAL | 9.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 47.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Real Sociedad vs. Valencia game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga action between Real Sociedad and Valencia at Anoeta is scheduled to begin in the United States at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Real Sociedad vs. Valencia
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Anoeta
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Real Sociedad has a 44.8% win probability on Sunday, Valencia has a 29.4% win probability, and there is a 25.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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