Kings vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Saturday's NBA game [3/28/2026]

NBA action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as the Sacramento Kings lock horns with the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Hawks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, while the Kings will rely on DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud and Malik Monk.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Kings and Hawks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Hawks an 84% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 122-111.

According to our model, the Kings (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Hawks odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Hawks
Spread	+13.5 (-110)	-13.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+560	-750
Total	o235.5 (-110)	u235.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Hawks picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Kings +13.5	-110
Moneyline	Kings	+560
Total	Under 235.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kings vs. Hawks player props

NBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Sacramento vs. Atlanta matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

DeMar DeRozan is expected to lead the Kings with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 25 points, 10 rebounds and 9 assists for the Hawks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
DeMar DeRozan	19	3	5	1	33
Maxime Raynaud	16	10	2	0	35
Malik Monk	14	2	4	2	27
P. Achiuwa	13	8	2	1	32
Daeqwon Plowden	13	4	1	2	23

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Johnson	25	10	9	2	57
N. Alexander-Walker	21	4	4	3	38
CJ McCollum	20	3	5	3	36
Jock Landale	14	8	3	1	33
Corey Kispert	12	3	2	2	21

Kings vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between the Hawks and Kings at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Hawks, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Saturday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

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