Kings vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 28 points in Friday's NBA game [1/9/2026]

The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings will meet in NBA action at Chase Center on Friday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Warriors game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and De'Anthony Melton, while the Kings will rely on Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Kings and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Warriors an 86% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 120-107.

According to our model, the Kings (+14.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Warriors odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Warriors picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +14.5 at the spread.

Kings vs. Warriors player props

NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Kings vs. Warriors matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Zach LaVine is expected to lead the Kings with 20 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 28 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Warriors prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:

Kings vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Warriors and Kings at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors
• Date: Friday, January 9, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center

Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Friday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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