Kings vs. Timberwolves prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [12/14/2025]

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Sacramento Kings will lock horns in NBA action at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Timberwolves game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels and Naz Reid, while the Kings will look to Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Keegan Murray.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Kings and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Timberwolves a 77% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 121-112.

According to our model, the Kings (+9.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 235.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Timberwolves odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Timberwolves
Spread	+9.5 (-110)	-9.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+360	-410
Total	o235.5 (-110)	u235.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Kings +9.5	-110
Moneyline	Kings	+360
Total	Under 235.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Kings to win.

Kings vs. Timberwolves player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Kings vs. Timberwolves matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Zach LaVine is expected to lead the Kings with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Julius Randle is projected to have 24 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Zach LaVine	19	3	3	3	32
DeMar DeRozan	17	3	4	1	30
Keegan Murray	15	7	2	2	33
R. Westbrook	14	6	6	1	36
Maxime Raynaud	12	7	2	0	27

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Julius Randle	24	7	6	2	47
Jaden McDaniels	17	5	3	2	34
Naz Reid	16	6	3	3	35
D. DiVincenzo	15	4	5	3	33
Rudy Gobert	13	11	2	0	35

Kings vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Timberwolves and Kings at Target Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Timberwolves, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Sunday, with Julius Randle projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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