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Kings vs. Suns prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [1/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Friday.
The Phoenix Suns will take on the Sacramento Kings in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Friday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Suns as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature stars like Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Collin Gillespie, while the Kings will look to DeMar DeRozan, Keegan Murray and Maxime Raynaud.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Kings and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Suns an 84% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 118-106.
According to our model, the Kings (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 223.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Kings vs. Suns odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +13.5 (-110) | -13.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +540 | -750 |
| Total | o223.5 (-110) | u223.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +13.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Kings | +540 |
| Total | Over 223.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +13.5 at the spread.
Kings vs. Suns player props
Looking for Sacramento vs. Phoenix NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
DeMar DeRozan is expected to lead the Kings with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 25 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Kings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 34 |
| Keegan Murray | 15 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| R. Westbrook | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| Dennis Schroder | 12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 26 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 25 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 46 |
| Dillon Brooks | 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 32 |
| C. Gillespie | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 34 |
| Mark Williams | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Royce O'Neale | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 26 |
Kings vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Suns and Kings at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Friday, January 2, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Friday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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