Kings vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Sunday's NBA game [4/12/2026]

The Portland Trail Blazers and Sacramento Kings will lock horns in NBA action at Moda Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Trail Blazers as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Trail Blazers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature players like Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday and Scoot Henderson, while the Kings will be led by Maxime Raynaud, Devin Carter and Daeqwon Plowden.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Kings and Trail Blazers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Trail Blazers a 91% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Trail Blazers winning 121-105.

According to our model, the Kings (+18.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 226.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Kings vs. Trail Blazers odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Trail Blazers
Spread	+18.5 (-105)	-18.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+1200	-2200
Total	o226.5 (-108)	u226.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Kings +18.5	-105
Moneyline	Kings	+1200
Total	Over 226.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +18.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kings vs. Trail Blazers player props

NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Sunday's Kings vs. Trail Blazers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Maxime Raynaud is expected to lead the Kings with 16 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 28 points, 6 rebounds and 9 assists for the Trail Blazers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Maxime Raynaud	16	9	2	1	34
Devin Carter	15	5	4	1	35
Daeqwon Plowden	14	4	1	2	26
Nique Clifford	12	5	3	1	31
P. Achiuwa	10	6	2	0	26

Trail Blazers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Deni Avdija	28	6	9	2	56
Jrue Holiday	22	5	7	4	45
Scoot Henderson	20	4	5	3	37
Toumani Camara	15	5	3	3	31
Donovan Clingan	13	12	2	2	38

Kings vs. Blazers game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Trail Blazers and Kings at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers
• Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Trail Blazers, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat the Kings in Sunday's NBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.