Spurs vs. Timberwolves prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Game 3 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Playoffs Friday.

The Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs are scheduled to meet in Game 3 of their NBA Playoffs series at Target Center on Friday, with tipoff at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 3 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Spurs will look to Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win Game 3?
Our famous predictive model gives the Spurs a 70% chance of defeating the Timberwolves in Game 3 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 111-105.
According to our model, the Spurs (-5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 217.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 3 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-105) | +5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -218 | +188 |
| Total | o217.5 (-106) | u217.5 (-117) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet for Game 3
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs -5.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -218 |
| Total | Over 217.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 3 player props
Betting on San Antonio vs. Minnesota NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 27 points, 13 rebounds and 3 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 22 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 27 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 60 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Stephon Castle | 18 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 41 |
| Devin Vassell | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Dylan Harper | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 26 |
Timberwolves prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 22 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 38 |
| Julius Randle | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 38 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Naz Reid | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
Spurs vs. Wolves Game 3 updates and essential details
Friday's Game 3 between the Timberwolves and Spurs in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to determine the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Spurs and Timberwolves, made the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Friday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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