Get San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Playoffs Sunday.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA prediction for Game 4 of the series.
The Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs will meet in Game 4 of their NBA Playoffs series at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature players like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Spurs will be led by Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win Game 4?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Spurs and Timberwolves, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Spurs a 69% chance of beating the Timberwolves in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 112-106.
According to our model, the Spurs (-5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 218.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Spurs
Timberwolves
Spread
-5.5 (-105)
+5.5 (-115)
Moneyline
-185
+176
Total
o218.5 (-107)
u218.5 (-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet for Game 4
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 4 player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the San Antonio vs. Minnesota matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 27 points, 13 rebounds and 3 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 27 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.
Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 27 points tonight.
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Spurs and Timberwolves, made the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Sunday's NBA playoffs matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
