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Spurs vs. Trail Blazers prediction: Why San Antonio is favored to win Game 3 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers predictions for NBA Playoffs Friday.
The Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs will meet in Game 3 of their NBA Playoffs series at Moda Center on Friday, with tipoff at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Game 3 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Trail Blazers lineup will feature stars like Deni Avdija, Jrue Holiday and Scoot Henderson, while the Spurs will rely on De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle and Devin Vassell.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Blazers prediction: Who will win Game 3?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA Playoffs game between the Spurs and Trail Blazers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 57% chance of beating the Trail Blazers in Game 3 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 111-109.
According to our model, the Spurs (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 220 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Game 3 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Trail Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-108) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -120 | +105 |
| Total | o220 (-110) | u220 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers picks and best bet for Game 3
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs -1.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -120 |
| Total | Over 220 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Game 3 player props
NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Spurs vs. Trail Blazers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
De'Aaron Fox is expected to lead the Spurs with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Deni Avdija is projected to have 27 points, 8 rebounds and 7 assists for the Trail Blazers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 39 |
| Stephon Castle | 19 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 43 |
| Devin Vassell | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| J. Champagnie | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Keldon Johnson | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
Trail Blazers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Trail Blazers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija | 27 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 53 |
| Jrue Holiday | 17 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 39 |
| Scoot Henderson | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Toumani Camara | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Donovan Clingan | 11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 34 |
Spurs vs. Blazers Game 3 updates and essential details
Friday's Game 3 between the Trail Blazers and Spurs in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Spurs and Trail Blazers, reached the NBA Playoffs 2026, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Make the most of Dimers' Spurs vs. Trail Blazers predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers in Friday's NBA playoffs matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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