Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/9/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC predictions for MLS Saturday.

Seattle Sounders-San Diego FC Predictions and Game Preview.
Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC MLS prediction for Saturday, May 9, 2026.

Seattle and San Diego FC will lock horns in MLS action at Lumen Field on Saturday, with kickoff at 10:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Seattle as the most likely winner of the Seattle vs. San Diego FC game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Seattle and San Diego FC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 62.2% chance of Seattle winning, a 17.1% chance for San Diego FC, and a 20.6% chance of a draw.

 

Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market Seattle San Diego FC Draw
Moneyline -180 +430 +360

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline San Diego FC +430

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is San Diego FC to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Seattle win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
SEA 2-0 San Diego FC 10.2%
SEA 1-0 San Diego FC 10%
SEA 2-1 San Diego FC 9.9%

Seattle Sounders vs. San Diego FC game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between Seattle and San Diego FC in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Seattle has a 62.2% win probability on Saturday, San Diego FC has a 17.1% win probability, and there is a 20.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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