Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/23/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Sporting Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls predictions for MLS Saturday.

Sporting Kansas City-NY Red Bulls Predictions and Game Preview.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls MLS prediction for Saturday, May 23, 2026.

Sporting KC and NY Red Bulls are scheduled to meet in MLS action on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts NY Red Bulls as the most likely winner of the Sporting KC vs. NY Red Bulls game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Sporting KC and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 35.2% chance of Sporting KC winning, a 43.0% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 21.9% chance of a draw.

 

Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market Sporting KC NY Red Bulls Draw
Moneyline +200 +110 +300

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Sporting KC +200

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sporting KC to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
SKC 1-1 NYR 8.8%
SKC 1-2 NYR 8.4%
SKC 2-1 NYR 7.5%

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Sporting KC and NY Red Bulls is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

World Cup 2026 watch: John Tolkin (USA)

NY Red Bulls left-back John Tolkin is firmly on the radar for USMNT supporters as interest ramps up as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early speculation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Tolkin's form will be tracked closely.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sporting KC has a 35.2% win probability on Saturday, NY Red Bulls have a 43.0% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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