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Read Article Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/23/2026]
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sporting Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls predictions for MLS Saturday.
Sporting KC will take on NY Red Bulls in MLS action on Saturday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts NY Red Bulls as the most likely winner of the Sporting KC vs. NY Red Bulls game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Sporting KC and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 35.9% chance of Sporting KC winning, a 42.4% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 21.7% chance of a draw.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Sporting KC | NY Red Bulls | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +185 | +125 | +310 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sporting KC | +185 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sporting KC to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SKC 1-1 NYR | 8.5% |
| SKC 1-2 NYR | 8.2% |
| SKC 2-1 NYR | 7.5% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Sporting KC and NY Red Bulls is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Sporting Kansas City vs. NY Red Bulls
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
World Cup 2026 watch: John Tolkin (USA)
NY Red Bulls left-back John Tolkin is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans this year as anticipation grows ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup predictions and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Tolkin's club form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sporting KC has a 35.9% win probability on Saturday, NY Red Bulls have a 42.4% win probability, and there is a 21.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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