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Read Article Canberra Raiders vs. St George Illawarra Dragons prediction: Why Raiders are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 17 matchup [6/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons predictions for NRL Sunday.
The Canberra Raiders will take on the St George Illawarra Dragons in National Rugby League (NRL) action at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday, beginning at 12:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Raiders as the most likely winner of the Dragons vs. Raiders game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Raiders vs. Dragons prediction: Who will win Round 17 game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NRL game between the Dragons and Raiders, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Raiders a 78.7% chance of defeating the Dragons.
According to our model, the Raiders (-9.5) have a 56.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 66.0% chance of staying under,.
St George vs. Raiders odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dragons | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +220 | -294 |
| Line (Spread) | +9.5 (-105) | -9.5 (-120) |
| Total | o53.5 (-115) | u53.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dragons vs. Raiders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders -9.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Raiders | bet_rivers_in-294 |
| Total | Under 53.5 | -115 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 53.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raiders vs. Dragons game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league action between the Raiders and Dragons at GIO Stadium Canberra is scheduled to start at 12:00 AM ET.
- Who: St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Canberra Raiders
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
- Venue: GIO Stadium Canberra
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Raiders, with a 78.7% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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