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Read Article Newcastle Knights vs. Wests Tigers prediction: Knights favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 17 matchup [6/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers predictions for NRL Sunday.
The Newcastle Knights and Wests Tigers will lock horns in the National Rugby League (NRL) at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:05 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Knights as the most likely winner of the Tigers vs. Knights game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Knights vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win Round 17 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Tigers and Knights, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Knights a 76.7% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Knights (-8.5) have a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 58.8% chance of staying under,.
Tigers vs. Knights odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Knights |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +195 | -263 |
| Line (Spread) | +8.5 (-120) | -8.5 (-105) |
| Total | o51.5 (-115) | u51.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Knights picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Knights -8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Knights | bet_rivers_in-263 |
| Total | Under 51.5 | -115 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 51.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Knights vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Knights and Tigers at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:05 AM ET.
- Who: Wests Tigers vs. Newcastle Knights
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 2:05 AM ET/11:05PM PT
- Venue: McDonald Jones Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Knights, with a 76.7% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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