Jun 16, 2026
Iraq vs. Norway prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Read Article Today's World Cup 2026 predictions and betting guide [Tuesday, June 16]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo
Complete World Cup 2026 predictions and betting guide for today's matches, featuring Senegal vs. France, Norway vs. Iraq, Algeria vs. Argentina, and Jordan vs. Austria, on Tuesday, June 16.
Following four draws yesterday, the second week of the World Cup 2026 rolls on today, and our insights and betting guide are designed to help you navigate Tuesday's four matches using Dimers' data-driven World Cup predictions on June 16. Kicking off things today is the match between Senegal vs. France at 3pm (ET), followed by Norway vs. Iraq at 6pm, then Algeria vs. Argentina at 9pm, before Jordan vs. Austria close us out at midnight.
Thanks to DraftKings Sportsbook, we've broken down each of Tuesday's matchups below in our World Cup betting guide, with everything you need to know about the teams, the players, the probabilities, the most likely score lines, as well as the sharpest player props for Tuesday's four World Cup fixtures.
What are our World Cup predictions today?
Dimers' World Cup 2026 predictions refer to the forecasts and statistical projections made by our team of data scientists regarding the outcomes of not only the four matches on Tuesday, June 16, but also the ultimate winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. These predictions for the 2026 World Cup are generated by highly sophisticated machine learning models that analyze historical data sets, player-specific performance metrics, and team-level compositions.
France vs. Senegal betting guide
Kickoff: June 16, 3:00pm (ET)
We've laid out the latest data-driven projections for today's massive World Cup clash, with France stepping on to the pitch as a solid 64.2% favorite. To help you map out your betting slips, we’ve broken down the numbers behind the outright moneyline, the over/under goal lines, and the most anticipated exact scorelines.
Moneyline: Who will win France vs. Sengal?
The outright market gives a definitive nod to the European powerhouse, though a stubborn Senegal squad and the possibility of a draw still make up a decent chunk of the outlook:
- France to Win: 64.2%
- Draw: 21.7%
- Senegal to Win: 14.1%
Will Kylian Mbappe play today?
Yes, Kylian Mbappé is expected to play for France today against Senegal in their opening match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. He is projected to start in the attack alongside Ousmane Dembélé.
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Total goals market (Over/Under 3.5)
When it comes to the total match volume, the numbers suggest a tight, tactical battle that slightly favors a lower-scoring game staying under the standard line:
- Under 2.5 Goals: 53.8%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 48.1%
Top 5 exact scoreline probabilities
If you're hunting for higher-value correct score plays, the model anticipates a highly controlled defensive performance, leaning heavily toward narrow French scorelines or a competitive draw:
- France 1-0 Senegal: 13.9%
- France 2-0 Senegal: 12.9%
- France 1-1 Draw: 10.2%
- France 2-1 Senegal: 9.5%
- France 3-0 Senegal: 8.0%
Summary: The metrics lean clearly toward a France victory at 64.2%. Because the total goal trends show a 53.8% edge for Under 2.5 goals, combining a France win with a lower match total looks like a very sensible approach. This aligns perfectly with the exact score predictions, where a close 1-0 or 2-0 French win accounts for nearly 27% of all expected outcomes.
Iraq vs. Norway
Kickoff: June 16, 6:00pm (ET)
We've finalized the statistical forecast for today's World Cup matchup, which sees Norway head into the game as a heavy 75.0% favorite. If you're building a ticket for this one, here is a look at how the moneyline, over/under totals, and exact score percentages are shaking out.
Moneyline: Who will win Iraq vs. Norway?
The outright win market heavily favors the Scandinavian side to secure a victory, leaving Iraq with a tough path to an upset:
- Norway to Win: 75.0%
- Draw: 16.3%
- Iraq to Win: 8.7%
Will Erling Haaland play today?
Yes, Erling Haaland is playing today. He is expected to start for Norway in their opening 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage match.
Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)
In a shift from some of today's more defensive games, the goal volume trend for this fixture leans toward a more open, higher-scoring match:
- Over 2.5 Goals: 57.1%
- Under 2.5 Goals: 42.9%
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
The scoreline probabilities favor an offensive performance from Norway, with a multi-goal margin representing the top expected outcome:
- Iraq 0-2 Norway: 13.8%
- Iraq 0-1 Norway: 11.9%
- Iraq 0-3 Norway: 10.7%
- Iraq 1-2 Norway: 9.0%
- Iraq 1-1 Draw: 7.7%
Summary: Norway is the clear front-runner with a 75.0% moneyline expectation. Because the over/under numbers strongly favor Over 2.5 goals at 57.1%, combining a Norway win with a higher goal total looks like a sensible route. This fits well with the top exact score predictions, where results like 0-2, 0-3, or 1-2 for Norway make up a significant portion of the total forecast.
Argentina vs. Algeria
Kickoff: June 16, 9:00pm (ET)
We’ve pulled the latest numbers for today’s World Cup matchup, and the model puts Argentina in the driver's seat as a comfortable 68.3% favorite to take the win. To keep your betting strategy on track, let’s dive right into the breakdown for the straight-up moneyline, the over/under goal totals, and the most anticipated exact scorelines.
Moneyline: Who will win Argentina vs. Algeria?
The straight-up winner market leans heavily toward a South American victory, though a draw or an Algerian upset still holds some combined weight:
- Argentina to Win: 68.3%
- Draw: 20.4%
- Algeria to Win: 11.3%
Will Messi play today?
Yes, Lionel Messi will play today in Argentina's opening match against Algeria. Messi is projected for the following stat lines against Algeria.
- First goal: 17.9%
- 1+ goals: 38.8%
- 2+ goals: 8.6%
- 3+ goals: 1.1%
- Shots on goal: 3.1
- Shots on target: 1.3
Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)
When it comes to total match goals, the projections point to a closely contested line that slightly favors a tighter, lower-scoring affair:
- Under 2.5 Goals: 52.8%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 47.2%
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
Looking at the most likely exact scores on the board, the algorithm projects either a controlled, low-scoring win for Argentina or a tight deadlock. The top five outcomes are:
- Argentina 1-0 Algeria: 14.9%
- Argentina 2-0 Algeria: 14.3%
- Argentina 1-1 Draw: 9.4%
- Argentina 3-0 Algeria: 9.2%
- Argentina 2-1 Algeria: 9.1%
Summary: Argentina is the clear front-runner here with a 68.3% moneyline probability. With the model also leaning toward Under 2.5 goals at 52.8%, pairing an Argentina win with a lower match total looks like a sensible route to take. This ties in perfectly with the exact score predictions, where a controlled 1-0 or 2-0 Argentina victory makes up nearly 30% of all projected outcomes.
Austria vs. Jordan
Kickoff: June 17, 12:00am (ET)
The numbers are set for today's World Cup matchup, with Austria coming in as a clear 67.1% favorite to take the win. Let's look at what the data says for the straight-up moneyline, the over/under goal totals, and the most likely exact scorelines on the board.
Moneyline: Who will win Austria vs. Jordan?
The winner market leans heavily toward a victory for the European side, though a draw or a Jordan upset still holds some combined weight:
- Austria to Win: 67.1%
- Draw: 19.5%
- Jordan to Win: 13.4%
Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)
Unlike some of the more defensive games on today's schedule, the projections for this match point toward a more open style of play, favoring the over line:
- Over 2.5 Goals: 55.9%
- Under 2.5 Goals: 44.1%
Top 5 exact scoreline predictions
Looking at the most likely exact scores, the numbers suggest either a comfortable multi-goal win for Austria or a competitive, low-scoring battle. The top five outcomes are:
- Austria 2-0 Jordan: 11.9%
- Austria 1-0 Jordan: 11.3%
- Austria 2-1 Jordan: 9.7%
- Austria 1-1 Draw: 9.3%
- Austria 3-0 Jordan: 8.4%
Summary: Austria is the expected front-runner here with a 67.1% moneyline probability. With the model also leaning toward Over 2.5 goals at 55.9%, backing an Austria victory combined with a higher goal total looks like a sensible angle to explore. This fits well with the exact score predictions, where multi-goal wins for Austria like 2-0, 2-1, or 3-0 make up a combined 30% of all projected outcomes.
Bet the World Cup 2026 with confidence
The expanded 48-team format means more chaos, more betting opportunities, and more variance in team performance. Having access to Dimers' World Cup predictions gives you a significant edge—whether you’re building World Cup parlays, targeting specific matchups, or just hunting for value across the various player props markets.
Dimers combines deep coverage of every World Cup match with transparent, science-backed player projections so you can bet smarter, understand the “why” behind the numbers, and enjoy betting on the World Cup with confidence.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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