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Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [5/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto bluejays will meet in MLB action at Tropicana Field on Wednesday, starting at 1:10 PM ET.
Shane McClanahan (3-2, 3.10 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Rays, pitting him against Patrick Corbin (1-0, 3.65 ERA) for the Blue Jays.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Rays as the most likely winner of the Blue Jays vs. Rays game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Rays a 56% chance of beating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Blue Jays vs. Rays odds [5/6/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blue Jays | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-186) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | +119 | -138 |
| Total | o7.5 (-115) | u7.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blue Jays vs. Rays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Rays -1.5 | +165 |
| Moneyline | Blue Jays | +119 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blue Jays vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Rays and Blue Jays at Tropicana Field is scheduled to start at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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