Raptors vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [3/20/2026]

The Denver Nuggets will face the Toronto Raptors in NBA action at Ball Arena on Friday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Raptors will rely on Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Raptors vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Raptors and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Nuggets a 72% chance of beating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 122-115.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Raptors and Nuggets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 238.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Raptors vs. Nuggets odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Raptors	Nuggets
Spread	+7 (-112)	-7 (-108)
Moneyline	+220	-270
Total	o238.5 (-114)	u238.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Raptors vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Nuggets -7	-108
Moneyline	Nuggets	-270
Total	Under 238.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 238.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Raptors vs. Nuggets player props

Looking for Toronto vs. Denver NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 26 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Raptors prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brandon Ingram	24	6	4	2	43
RJ Barrett	20	6	4	2	37
Scottie Barnes	20	7	6	1	45
I. Quickley	17	4	6	2	36
Jakob Poeltl	13	8	3	0	32

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	26	13	9	2	64
Jamal Murray	26	4	7	3	47
Aaron Gordon	15	6	3	2	30
Tim Hardaway	12	2	1	2	20
Christian Braun	12	5	3	1	27

Raptors vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Nuggets and Raptors at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Friday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 64 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.