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Raptors vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [4/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 8:00 PM ET as the favored Toronto Raptors take on the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like GG Jackson, Javon Small and Cedric Coward, while the Raptors will be led by Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Raptors and Grizzlies, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Raptors an 86% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 122-109.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+14.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Raptors vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Raptors | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -14.5 (-108) | +14.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -1100 | +750 |
| Total | o234.5 (-108) | u234.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +14.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +750 |
| Total | Under 234.5 | -112 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +14.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raptors vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Friday's Toronto vs. Memphis game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while GG Jackson is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Raptors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 41 |
| RJ Barrett | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Scottie Barnes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 50 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
| S. Mamukelashvili | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| Javon Small | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 33 |
| Cedric Coward | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| T. Hendricks | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Rayan Rupert | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
Raptors vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Grizzlies and Raptors at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Friday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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