Raptors vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [12/15/2025]

NBA action continues on Monday at 7:30PM ET as the Toronto Raptors take on the Miami Heat at Kaseya Center.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Heat as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Heat game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Tyler Herro, Norman Powell and Bam Adebayo, while the Raptors will look to Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Raptors vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Raptors and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Heat a 68% chance of defeating the Raptors. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 119-114.

According to our model, the Heat (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 234.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Raptors vs. Heat odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Raptors	Heat
Spread	+4.5 (-105)	-4.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+158	-185
Total	o234.5 (-106)	u234.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Raptors vs. Heat picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Heat -4.5	-110
Moneyline	Heat	-185
Total	Under 234.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Heat to win.

Raptors vs. Heat player props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Monday's Raptors vs. Heat matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.

Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Tyler Herro is projected to have 22 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Heat.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Raptors prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Raptors are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brandon Ingram	24	6	4	2	43
Scottie Barnes	22	8	6	2	48
I. Quickley	18	5	7	3	39
Jakob Poeltl	11	8	2	0	29
S. Mamukelashvili	10	5	1	1	21

Heat prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Tyler Herro	22	5	5	2	40
Norman Powell	21	3	2	2	34
Bam Adebayo	19	10	3	2	42
Andrew Wiggins	17	5	3	2	35
Jaime Jaquez	14	6	4	1	31

Raptors vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Heat and Raptors at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat
• Date: Monday, December 15, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Kaseya Center

Conclusion

We predict the Heat, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors on Monday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raptors vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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