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Jazz vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 29 points in Saturday's NBA game [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Golden State Warriors will face the Utah Jazz in NBA action at Chase Center on Saturday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski, while the Jazz will rely on Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Brice Sensabaugh.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Jazz vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors an 82% chance of beating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 128-117.
According to our model, the Jazz (+12.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 249.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of staying under.
Jazz vs. Warriors odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jazz | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-108) | -12.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +450 | -560 |
| Total | o249.5 (-106) | u249.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jazz vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jazz +12.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Jazz | +450 |
| Total | Under 249.5 | -114 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Jazz +12.5 at the spread.
Jazz vs. Warriors player props
Looking for Utah vs. Golden State NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Lauri Markkanen is expected to lead the Jazz with 25 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 29 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Jazz prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 25 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 42 |
| Keyonte George | 23 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 44 |
| B. Sensabaugh | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Isaiah Collier | 9 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 26 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 29 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 50 |
| Jimmy Butler | 21 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 42 |
| B. Podziemski | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Moses Moody | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| D. Melton | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
Jazz vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Warriors and Jazz at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Jazz vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Saturday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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