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Read Article Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano predictions for La Liga Thursday.
Valencia and Rayo Vallecano will lock horns in La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla on Thursday, with kickoff at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Valencia as the most likely winner of the Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's La Liga match between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 44.3% chance of Valencia winning, a 28.4% chance for Rayo Vallecano, and a 27.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Valencia | Rayo Vallecano | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +120 | +275 | +200 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +125 | -175 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rayo Vallecano | +275 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +125 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rayo Vallecano to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| VAL 1-1 RAY | 12.9% |
| VAL 1-0 RAY | 12.6% |
| VAL 0-1 RAY | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.5% chance of both Valencia and Rayo Vallecano finding the net and a 52.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's La Liga action between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano at Estadio de Mestalla is scheduled to start in the USA at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Valencia has a 44.3% win probability on Thursday, Rayo Vallecano has a 28.4% win probability, and there is a 27.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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