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Valencia vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [2/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Valencia vs Real Madrid predictions for La Liga Sunday.
Valencia and Real Madrid will meet in La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla on Sunday, with kickoff at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Real Madrid as the most likely winner of the Valencia vs. Real Madrid game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Valencia vs. Real Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Valencia and Real Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 22.0% chance of Valencia winning, a 55.6% chance for Real Madrid, and a 22.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Valencia vs. Real Madrid odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Valencia | Real Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +430 | -145 | +320 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -154 | +126 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valencia vs. Real Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Valencia | +430 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +126 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valencia to win.
Valencia vs. Real Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| VAL 1-1 MAD | 10.5% |
| VAL 1-2 MAD | 9.9% |
| VAL 0-1 MAD | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.6% chance that both teams scoring, and a 43.4% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Valencia vs. Real Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga matchup between Valencia and Real Madrid at Estadio de Mestalla is scheduled to begin in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Valencia vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Sunday, February 8, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Valencia has a 22.0% win probability on Sunday, Real Madrid has a 55.6% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Valencia vs. Real Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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