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Read Article Nationals vs. Guardians prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Nationals vs Cleveland Guardians predictions for MLB Monday.
The Cleveland Guardians and Washington Nationals will lock horns in MLB action at Progressive Field on Monday, starting at 6:10 PM ET.
Tanner Bibee (0-6, 3.75 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Guardians, while the Nationals are going with Zack Littell (3-4, 5.83 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Guardians as the most likely winner of the Nationals vs. Guardians game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Nationals vs. Guardians prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Nationals and Guardians, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Guardians a 61% chance of beating the Nationals.
According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of eight runs has a 54% chance of going over.
Nationals vs. Guardians odds [5/25/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nationals | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-148) | -1.5 (+125) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -175 |
| Total | o8 (-115) | u8 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nationals vs. Guardians picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Guardians -1.5 | +125 |
| Moneyline | Nationals | +150 |
| Total | Over 8 | -115 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nationals vs. Guardians game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Guardians and Nationals at Progressive Field is scheduled to start at 6:10 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Time: 6:10 PM ET/3:10PM PT
- Venue: Progressive Field
Conclusion
We predict the Guardians, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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