Wizards vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [1/17/2026]

The Denver Nuggets and Washington Wizards will meet in NBA action at Ball Arena on Saturday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson, while the Wizards will be led by Alex Sarr, Tre Johnson and Kyshawn George.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Wizards vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Wizards and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Nuggets a 79% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 117-108.

According to our model, the Wizards (+10.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Wizards vs. Nuggets odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wizards	Nuggets
Spread	+10.5 (-112)	-10.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+375	-450
Total	o227.5 (-108)	u227.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wizards vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Wizards +10.5	-112
Moneyline	Wizards	+375
Total	Under 227.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +10.5 at the spread.

Wizards vs. Nuggets player props

Looking for Wizards vs. Nuggets NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Alex Sarr is expected to lead the Wizards with 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jamal Murray is projected to have 26 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Wizards prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Alex Sarr	17	7	3	1	38
Tre Johnson	15	3	2	3	27
Kyshawn George	14	5	4	2	32
Bub Carrington	12	5	6	2	30
Khris Middleton	12	4	4	1	26

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jamal Murray	26	5	8	3	51
Aaron Gordon	20	7	3	2	37
Peyton Watson	18	7	3	2	38
Tim Hardaway	15	3	2	3	25
Jalen Pickett	10	4	5	2	26

Wizards vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between the Nuggets and Wizards at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Wizards vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Saturday, with Jamal Murray projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wizards vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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