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Wizards vs. Suns prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [1/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Phoenix Suns will face the Washington Wizards in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Sunday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature stars like Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Mark Williams, while the Wizards will look to Alex Sarr, Tre Johnson and Tristan Vukcevic.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wizards vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA game between the Wizards and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Suns an 85% chance of defeating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 120-107.
According to our model, the Wizards (+14.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Wizards vs. Suns odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wizards | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-105) | -14.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +640 | -900 |
| Total | o229.5 (-114) | u229.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wizards vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +14.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Wizards | +640 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +14.5 at the spread.
Wizards vs. Suns player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Washington vs. Phoenix matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Alex Sarr is expected to lead the Wizards with 16 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 26 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Wizards prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sarr | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 37 |
| Tre Johnson | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| T. Vukcevic | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Kyshawn George | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 26 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 47 |
| Dillon Brooks | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Mark Williams | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Grayson Allen | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| C. Gillespie | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 32 |
Wizards vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Suns and Wizards at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Wizards vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Sunday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wizards vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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