Best WNBA bets today: Monday's picks include Mercury vs. Fever play [6/22/2026]

Mercury vs. Fever Under 177.5 points (+104)

• Edge: 13.9%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 177.5 points in Mercury vs. Fever at +104 odds. A 62.9% probability produces an edge of 13.9%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Tempo +13.5 (+104)

• Edge: 12.9%
• Probability: 61.9%
• Matchup: Tempo vs. Dream (7:30PM ET)

Tempo +13.5 carries a 12.9% edge and a probability of 61.9% at +104 odds, according to our model.

Tempo vs. Dream Under 177.5 points (+102)

• Edge: 12.6%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Matchup: Tempo vs. Dream (7:30PM ET)

Tempo vs. Dream Under 177.5 points at +102 odds shows a 12.6% edge, supported by a 62.1% probability in simulations.

Sky vs. Sun under 167.5 points (+106)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

A 10.0% edge and 58.5% probability make Sky vs. Sun under 167.5 points a value play in the Sky vs. Sun matchup, per our model.

Wings vs. Storm Under 168.5 points (+106)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Matchup: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)

Wings vs. Storm Under 168.5 points at +106 odds presents a 9.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.5%.

Sun +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Sun +3.5 at -102 odds, supported by an edge of 4.5%.

Tempo ML (+770)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 15%
• Matchup: Tempo vs. Dream (7:30PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Tempo ML at +770 odds. A 15% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Sun ML (+147)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 43.7%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

A 3.2% edge on a 43.7% probability makes Sun to win at +147 odds a solid value play in today's Sky vs. Sun matchup.

Wings ML (-365)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 81.3%
• Matchup: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Wings to win at -365 odds. A 81.3% probability produces a 2.8% edge, making Wings the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Fever ML (-225)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 71.9%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Fever to defeat Mercury at -225 odds shows a 71.9% probability and a 2.7% edge.

WNBA best bets summary: Monday, 6/22/2026

As of 2:13AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [6/22/2026]

• Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Tempo vs. Dream (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Mercury vs. Fever (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for June 22, 2026, featuring plays such as Under 177.5 points in the Mercury vs. Fever matchup and Tempo +13.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.