WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, June 26, 2026
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/26.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, June 26, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Brittney Griner and Megan Gustafson lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 26, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 16.8% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.7% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.7% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 13.5% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.3% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.9% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 12.0% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.6% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 11.2% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 11.1% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.9% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 10.8% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 10.5% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 10.5% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 10.5% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 10.4% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.7% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.5% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 9.5% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 9.0% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 8.6% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.1% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 7.7% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.6% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 7.5% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.5% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 7.2% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 6.2% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 4.2% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.1% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 26, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 6.5% | +1300 | 13.7% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 3.8% | +1300 | 10.9% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 3.4% | +1300 | 10.5% |
| Gabriela Jaquez | Sky | 3.3% | +1500 | 9.5% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 2.1% | +1000 | 11.2% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 1.4% | +550 | 16.8% |
| Naz Hillmon | Dream | 1.0% | +1400 | 7.7% |
| Diamond Miller | Sun | 1.0% | +950 | 10.5% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | Sun | 0.5% | +1400 | 7.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/26.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Friday, June 26, 2026, Gabby Williams, Brittney Griner and Megan Gustafson lead our first basket projections, with Gustafson shaping as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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