WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, June 26, 2026

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Written by Damien Souness

Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/26.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
Our WNBA first basket predictions for June 26, 2026, are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, June 26, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.

These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.

Williams, Brittney Griner and Megan Gustafson lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.

WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 26, 2026)

Player (Team) FB Probability
Gabby Williams (Valkyries) 16.8%
Brittney Griner (Sun) 13.7%
Megan Gustafson (Fire) 13.7%
Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) 13.5%
Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) 13.3%
Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) 12.9%
Rhyne Howard (Dream) 12.0%
Angel Reese (Dream) 11.6%
Allisha Gray (Dream) 11.2%
Leila Lacan (Sun) 11.1%
Sonia Citron (Mystics) 10.9%
Shakira Austin (Mystics) 10.8%
Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) 10.5%
Azura Stevens (Sky) 10.5%
Diamond Miller (Sun) 10.5%
Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) 10.4%
Emily Engstler (Fire) 9.7%
Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) 9.5%
Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) 9.5%
Carla Leite (Fire) 9.0%
Veronica Burton (Valkyries) 8.6%
Bridget Carleton (Fire) 8.1%
Naz Hillmon (Dream) 7.7%
Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) 7.6%
Jordin Canada (Dream) 7.5%
Kennedy Burke (Sun) 7.5%
Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) 7.2%
Natasha Cloud (Sky) 6.2%
Georgia Amoore (Mystics) 4.2%
Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) 4.1%

WNBA first basket picks today (June 26, 2026)

Player Team Edge Odds Probability
Megan Gustafson Fire 6.5% +1300 13.7%
Sonia Citron Mystics 3.8% +1300 10.9%
Michaela Onyenwere Mystics 3.4% +1300 10.5%
Gabriela Jaquez Sky 3.3% +1500 9.5%
Allisha Gray Dream 2.1% +1000 11.2%
Gabby Williams Valkyries 1.4% +550 16.8%
Naz Hillmon Dream 1.0% +1400 7.7%
Diamond Miller Sun 1.0% +950 10.5%
Charlisse Leger-Walker Sun 0.5% +1400 7.2%

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/26.

 

Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket

For Friday, June 26, 2026, Gabby Williams, Brittney Griner and Megan Gustafson lead our first basket projections, with Gustafson shaping as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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