Jun 8, 2026
Liberty vs. Sun prediction: Why New York is favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [6/8/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, June 8, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/8.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, June 8, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections make use of detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Natisha Hiedeman and Kelsey Mitchell lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 8, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.6% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 14.1% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.6% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 13.4% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 13.0% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 12.3% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.3% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 12.2% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 12.2% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 11.9% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 11.6% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 10.9% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.8% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 10.6% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 10.2% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 10.0% |
| Marine Johannes (Liberty) | 9.9% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 9.9% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 9.5% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 8.8% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 8.4% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 8.2% |
| Jordan Horston (Storm) | 7.3% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.0% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.0% |
| Monique Billings (Fever) | 6.6% |
| Stefanie Dolson (Storm) | 6.4% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 5.7% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.6% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 4.0% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 8, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 4.7% | +1000 | 13.8% |
| Diamond Miller | Sun | 3.0% | +1700 | 8.6% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 2.8% | +1600 | 8.7% |
| Leila Lacan | Sun | 2.8% | +900 | 12.8% |
| Pauline Astier | Liberty | 2.6% | +950 | 12.2% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 1.7% | +1000 | 10.8% |
| Caitlin Clark | Fever | 0.5% | +850 | 11.0% |
| Awa Fam | Storm | 0.4% | +800 | 11.6% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 0.4% | +1100 | 8.8% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 0.4% | +1600 | 6.3% |
| Kiki Iriafen | Mystics | 0.1% | +650 | 13.4% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/8.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, June 8, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Natisha Hiedeman and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, with Hiedeman shaping as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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