Jun 10, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Wednesday's picks include Sparks vs. Storm play [6/10/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/10.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, June 10, 2026—are live with the Sparks' Kelsey Plum projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Plum, Marina Mabrey and Dominique Malonga lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 10, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 14.1% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 13.6% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 12.8% |
| Brittney Sykes (Tempo) | 12.5% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 12.3% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.9% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 11.1% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.1% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 11.1% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.7% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 10.3% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 9.7% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 9.5% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 9.0% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.7% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.4% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.9% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.3% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 6.0% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 6.0% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 10, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | Tempo | 1.9% | +850 | 12.5% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 1.8% | +750 | 13.6% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 1.4% | +850 | 11.9% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 0.6% | +1000 | 9.7% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 0.0% | +1200 | 7.7% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/10.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, June 10, 2026, Kelsey Plum, Marina Mabrey and Dominique Malonga lead our first basket projections, while Brittney Sykes shapes as the strongest value play at +850. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
