WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Kiki Iriafen [7/16/2026]
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for July 16, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Kiki Iriafen, Sabrina Ionescu and Carla Leite.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Liberty vs. Wings and Fire vs. Mystics, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Thursday, 7/16
Below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 16, ranked by probability.
Kiki Iriafen under 10.5 rebounds (-125)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 60.9%
- Projection: 8.6
- Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Washington's Kiki Iriafen under 10.5 rebounds. A probability of 60.9% gives this play an edge of 5.3% at -125 odds.
Sabrina Ionescu over 16.5 points scored (-113)
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Projection: 19.1
- Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)
Sabrina Ionescu’s points scored prop shows a 2.5% edge at -113 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 19.1 points scored on the over 16.5 line.
Carla Leite under 5.5 assists (+100)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Projection: 4.6
- Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Carla Leite under 5.5 assists, with simulations showing a 54.8% probability and a 4.8% edge at +100.
Pauline Astier over 8.5 points scored (-120)
- Edge: 0.2%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Projection: 10.8
- Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)
Our model projects Pauline Astier to record 10.8 points scored today, creating an edge of 0.2% on the over 8.5 line at -120 odds.
Bridget Carleton under 12.5 points scored (+100)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Projection: 10.3
- Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Bridget Carleton under 12.5 points scored for Portland, showing an edge of 4.7% at +100 odds.
Jessica Shepard under 15.5 points scored (-113)
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Projection: 13.5
- Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)
Jessica Shepard’s points scored prop shows an edge of 1.2% at -113 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 13.5 today.
Shakira Austin under 8.5 rebounds (+110)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Projection: 7.9
- Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects Shakira Austin for 7.9 rebounds for Washington, creating an edge of 5.9% on under 8.5 at +110 odds.
Shakira Austin over 15.5 points scored (-108)
- Edge: 1.5%
- Probability: 53.4%
- Projection: 17.1
- Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Shakira Austin for 17.1 points scored, creating value on the over 15.5 line at -108 odds and a 1.5% edge.
Sonia Citron under 17.5 points scored (-106)
- Edge: 0.2%
- Probability: 51.7%
- Projection: 16.7
- Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)
A 0.2% edge on the under 15.5 points scored line makes Sonia Citron a value play in Fire vs. Mystics, with our model projecting her for 16.7 points scored at -106 odds.
Paige Bueckers to score first basket (+710)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 15.2%
- Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Paige Bueckers to score first basket here, with a 15.2% probability and 2.8% edge at +710 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Thursday, July 16, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:29AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire vs. Mystics | Kiki Iriafen under 10.5 rebounds | -125 @ ESPN BET | 5.3% | 60.9% |
| Liberty vs. Wings | Sabrina Ionescu over 16.5 points scored | -113 @ FanDuel | 2.5% | 55.5% |
| Fire vs. Mystics | Carla Leite under 5.5 assists | +100 @ ESPN BET | 0.2% | 54.8% |
| Liberty vs. Wings | Pauline Astier over 8.5 points scored | -120 @ FanDuel | 0.2% | 54.8% |
| Fire vs. Mystics | Bridget Carleton under 12.5 points scored | +100 @ FanDuel | 4.7% | 54.7% |
| Liberty vs. Wings | Jessica Shepard under 15.5 points scored | -113 @ FanDuel | 1.2% | 54.3% |
| Fire vs. Mystics | Shakira Austin under 8.5 rebounds | +110 @ FanDuel | 5.9% | 53.6% |
| Fire vs. Mystics | Shakira Austin over 15.5 points scored | -108 @ FanDuel | 1.5% | 53.4% |
| Fire vs. Mystics | Sonia Citron under 17.5 points scored | -106 @ FanDuel | 0.2% | 51.7% |
| Liberty vs. Wings | Paige Bueckers to score first basket | +710 @ DraftKings | 2.8% | 15.2% |
Conclusion
For July 16, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Kiki Iriafen, Sabrina Ionescu and Carla Leite. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
