2025 PGA Baycurrent Classic Picks, Odds, Predictions: Xander Schauffele heads to Japan as tournament favorite

We're back with another week of PGA TOUR betting with our best golf bets and PGA picks from the Dimers golf model.

The Baycurrent Classic, formerly the ZOZO Championship, marks the PGA TOUR’s only official event in Asia and debuts with its new name at its new venue, Yokohama Country Club in Yokohama, Japan. Played from Thursday, October 9 through Sunday, October 12, the tournament features a limited 78-player field with no cuts competing for an $8 million purse and crucial FedExCup points.

Yokohama Country Club measures 7,315 yards and plays as a par 71 with 13 par 4s, three par 3s, and just a pair of par 5s. The course’s layout favors power off the tee and strong mid-to-long iron play, rewarding players who excel in Driving Distance, Approach play, and Putting, particularly on bentgrass. Scoring efficiency on Par 4s should provide a bonus for golfers who fit the course profile.

Returning champions Nico Echavarria, Collin Morikawa, and Hideki Matsuyama headline the field, with Echavarria entering as the reigning winner after setting the event’s 72-hole scoring record last season. The new venue and small field position the Baycurrent Classic as not only a crucial stop in the fall schedule for players seeking early-season FedExCup points, but a wide open contest with nearly 60 of the golfers at odds of 50/1 or longer.

MORE: Use Dimers' Head-to-Head Matchup Simulator

Hopefully you've tailed along this season or at least utilized our Dimers Pro PGA Predictions model which turned out winners this year - most recently cashing  +1400 Tommy Fleetwood winner at the TOUR Championship and hitting a Ben Griffin ladder and Scottie Scheffler win at the Procore Championship.

Who Will Win the 2025 Baycurrent Classic?

Below are the five most likely winners of the 2025 Baycurrent Classic at Yokohama Country Club in Japan, the third stop of the FedExCup Fall schedule.

These win predictions are the result of simulating the tournament over 10,000 times via our AI models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5, 10 and 20:

Xander Schauffele - With a 9.1% win probability and nearly 50% for a Top 10 (46.4%), Schauffele remains one of the most dangerous players this week. Despite missing the Tour Championship for the first time in his career due to injury struggles earlier in the season, he’s shown flashes of form and possesses the pedigree of a multiple-major winner.

Alex Noren - At 5.1% to win and 20.8% to finish top 5, Noren offers upside especially given his recent resurgence on the DP World Tour where he’s captured a couple of titles and looks sharp in form.

Kurt Kitayama - With a win probability of 5.0% and a 20.0% shot at top 5, Kitayama projects as a top contender, and boasts some of the best value in this field.

Chris Gotterup - Rated at 4.8% to win and with a 19.4% top-5 chance, Gotterup is a rising name to watch after he grabbed a high-profile victory at the Scottish Open and followed that with a strong finish at The Open.

Hideki Matsuyama - Though his outright win probability is under 5%, Matsuyama’s long track record, especially in Asia, gives him a solid floor as he looks to lean on local experience and recent success (four Top 20s in past six events).

MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings

Dimers' Baycurrent Classic Best Bets

We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds. 

A small field opens up plenty of longshot betting opportunity for those who match Dimers longshot winners with the course profile at Yokohama Country Club.

We'll also highlight any standout prop and placement bets for these golfers if we find any appealing value hidden in the Dimers golf predictions.

Xander Schauffele to Win (+1100 on BetRivers)

The top-ranked player per the OWGR in the field and 15th in Dimers’ in-house rankings, Xander Schauffele’s fair odds based on our 9.1% win probability are closer to +1000, offering slight betting value.

He’s a solid fit for Yokohama Country Club, ranking 12th in Approach and 25th off the tee, both key stats this week. While putting remains his weakness, Schauffele’s consistency and connection to Japan — heritage on his mother's side and the site where he won Olympic gold in 2020 — add to his appeal.

A win here would mark his first since the 2024 Open Championship, but he showed the upside this year with a T8 at the Masters and T7 at The Open with just a pair of finishes outside the Top 30 all year.

Kurt Kitayama to Win (+2600 on BetRivers)

A top-five projected finisher in our tournament predictions, Kurt Kitayama closed the season on a tear with five Top 25s, three Top 10s, and a win at the 3M Open.

The 5.0% probability from the Dimers model gives him fair odds around +1900, presenting a clear value at +2600 and worth a play at anything down to our fair odds.

Statistically, he’s elite in Driving Distance (8th) and Approach over 200 yards (1st), ideal for Yokohama’s bomber-favorable layout.

Although his putting is below average, his ball-striking gives him an offset to that weakness

Both a recent winner and strong fit for this course, Kitayama profiles as one of the best mid-tier bets on the board.

Billy Horschel to Win (+7000 on BetRivers)

Based on his odds in each placement market, Horschel is Dimers’ ladder play of the week, offering edges in the outright, Top 5, Top 10 and Top 20 markets.

Recently returning from hip surgery, he showed flashes of form with T9 and T4 before pausing his season in April. He made his return in September on the DP World Tour, but missed the cut at the BMW PGA Championship.

Despite the unremarkable return, his fair odds sit near +3000 with Dimers' 3.2% win probability, suggesting heavy mispricing at +7000. A calculated longshot, Horschel’s proven winning ability makes him a worthwhile sprinkle across placements.

• To Win: 3.2% at +7000 (fair at +1500)
• Top 5: 13.7% at +850 (fair at +630)
• Top 10: 25.4% at +380 (fair at +290)
• Top 20: 44.8% at +150 (fair at +125)

Other ways to bet on the Baycurrent Classic with the Dimers model

Beyond outright winners. there are a number of ways to utilize the Dimers' golf predictions to bet on PGA TOUR events.

Top 20 Parlays

Rather than betting on golfers to beat everyone else in the field, consider pairing some of Dimers' value bets or highest-projected finishers to all secure a Top 20 finish. Look for the market including ties to avoid any dead heat reduction.

This week, we project six golfers with at least a 50% probability to all finish Top 20, ranging from odds of Kury Kitayama at -140 to Xander Schauffele at -200.

Region Props

Use our predictions to bet on which golfer will lead their country of origin at any given event. With each golfer's home country next to their name on our leaderboard, you can quickly see who projects to lead their respective group.

For the Baycurrent Classic, Alex Noren is our top-projected European at 5.1% to win, while Hideki Matsuyama is our top-projected finisher from Asian countries at 4.4%.

Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers Pros also have access to the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

• PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including every major.
• Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
• Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
• PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR

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